Normally, the average rainfall in the first half of May ranges between 30 and 100 millimeters.

This expected rainfall, according to the agency, will result from a convergence of breezes in the region where Rwanda is located, and the topography of each area.

Rainfall between 160 and 200 millimeters is the highest forecasted in many areas of districts including Musanze, Ngororero, and Rutsiro. Rainfall ranging from 140 to 160 millimeters is expected in some parts of the Western Province and in central areas towards the western parts of districts such as Gakenke and Nyamagabe.

In the City of Kigali, rainfall is expected to be between 60 and 140 millimeters.

Due to the heavy rain that has been falling recently and the already saturated soil, from May 1 to May 4, consequences of heavy and continuous rainfall are expected, including flooding, landslides, and soil erosion in steep areas that are not protected against erosion. These effects could particularly impact the Northern, Southern, and Western Provinces.

The Ministry of Emergency Management recently reported that in a conducted survey, 326 locations were identified as vulnerable to disasters related to rainfall, particularly the impending rainfall during this period.

The Ministry has urged residents in high-risk areas to relocate early to avoid the consequences of these disasters.

Meteo Rwanda announced that the first ten days of May will be characterized by heavy rainfall.