According to the agency’s statement on January 31, the projected rainfall will range from 50 to 250 mm, significantly exceeding the usual figures.
While the initial days of February are anticipated to witness rainfall in line with long-term averages in various regions, the latter part of the month is expected to bring substantially higher precipitation. The persistence of El Niño conditions in the Pacific Ocean is identified as the primary factor contributing to this unusual weather pattern.
Certain regions, including Rusizi, Nyamasheke, Nyaruguru, Nyamagabe, Karongi, Rutsiro, and the western areas of Ngororero and Huye Districts, are preparing for the heaviest downpours, with expected rainfall ranging between 200 and 250 mm. Other areas, such as the rest of Ngororero and Huye Districts, western Gisagara, eastern Kirehe, Rubavu, Nyanza, Ruhango, Muhanga, and western Kamonyi, are likely to experience rainfall between 150 and 200 mm.
The Northern Province, excluding the southeastern Rulindo District, should brace for 100 to 150 mm of rain. Eastern Kamonyi, the remaining parts of Kirehe, Kigali City, the Eastern Province (excluding southeastern Bugesera), and the central corridor from Kayonza to Nyagatare are forecasted to receive between 50 and 100 mm of rain.
In terms of wind, the country is expected to experience moderate to strong winds, ranging from 6m/s to 8m/s, with some areas in Kigali City, Rwamagana, Ngoma, Nyaruguru, Gakenke, Gicumbi, and Burera Districts expecting slightly milder winds of 4 to 6 m/s.
Temperature predictions indicate that the highest temperatures, ranging from 26°C to 28°C, will be recorded in Kigali City, Bugesera, Rwamagana, Ngoma, the eastern and central parts of Gatsibo and Nyagatare Districts, eastern Kamonyi, Ruhango, Nyanza, Gisagara, and the southern regions of Rusizi District.
Conversely, cooler maximum temperatures of 18°C to 20°C are expected in the northern reaches of Nyabihu and the Volcanoes National Park in Musanze Districts, falling below the usual maximum temperature range.

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